New York Islanders
5-3
Nashville Predators
3-3
Win Probability
Nashville Predators host New York Islanders in a matchup the simulation clearly favors the home side to win. Roman Josi projects as the most likely point producer on either roster at 59%, while Filip Forsberg sits at 52% and Matthew Schaefer at 52%. The game turns on whether New York Islanders can generate secondary scoring; Bo Horvat has only a 47% chance of reaching a point, a modest figure for a team needing depth contributions in a tight contest. AccuScore's model has won 49% of calls favoring the home side in this win-probability range across 2449 graded games. For the Islanders to pull the upset, they would need production from their depth forwards to compensate for Nashville's advantage in elite scoring talent.
| Book | NSH | EV | NYI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -112 | +5.8% | -121 | -12.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -101 | +8.7% | -114 | -11.5% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Nashville Predators 59% to beat New York Islanders (41%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Nashville Predators the more likely winner at 59%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Nashville Predators a 59% chance of beating New York Islanders, against 41% for New York Islanders. Nashville Predators are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How New York Islanders and Nashville Predators come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
New York Islanders have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-W, most recent first).
Nashville Predators have won 1 of their last 5 (L-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 23 times since 2012: New York Islanders 7, Nashville Predators 16. The last meeting, on Jan 31, 2026, finished Nashville Predators 4, New York Islanders 3.
New York Islanders are 309-226 as favourite and 257-338 as underdog, and 264-314 on the road (46% of 578 games, 2011–2026).
Nashville Predators are 370-259 as favourite and 221-292 as underdog, and 338-248 at home (58% of 586 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | NYI | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 309-226 | 370-259 |
| As underdog | 257-338 | 221-292 |
| At home | 315-264 | 338-248 |
| On the road | 264-314 | 270-313 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →