New Jersey Devils
6-4
Dallas Stars
6-3
Win Probability
The New Jersey Devils travel to Dallas to face the Stars, who the simulation favours clearly. Mikko Rantanen and Jason Robertson both carry 59–60% chances of posting more than 0.5 points, while Jack Hughes sits at 57%—a tight race at the top that will likely decide the outcome. The game turns on Dallas's depth: three other Stars project above 48%, compared to just one Devil beyond Hughes. AccuScore's model has backed the home side in games shaped like this at 59% accuracy across 2,644 past calls. For New Jersey to pull the upset, it would need Hughes and Jesper Bratt, at 46%, to carry the offensive load while the Dallas secondary misfires.
| Book | DAL | EV | NJ | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -148 | +2.9% | +118 | -9.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -140 | +4.1% | +121 | -9.3% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas Stars 63% to beat New Jersey Devils (37%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas Stars the more likely winner at 63%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Dallas Stars a 63% chance of beating New Jersey Devils, against 37% for New Jersey Devils. Dallas Stars are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How New Jersey Devils and Dallas Stars come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
New Jersey Devils have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
Dallas Stars have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 24 times since 2011: New Jersey Devils 9, Dallas Stars 15. The last meeting, on Mar 24, 2026, finished New Jersey Devils 6, Dallas Stars 4.
New Jersey Devils are 254-194 as favourite and 245-403 as underdog, and 248-316 on the road (44% of 564 games, 2011–2026).
Dallas Stars are 422-287 as favourite and 206-255 as underdog, and 344-255 at home (57% of 599 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | NJ | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 254-194 | 422-287 |
| As underdog | 245-403 | 206-255 |
| At home | 264-296 | 344-255 |
| On the road | 248-316 | 303-298 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →