Florida Panthers
5-4
Winnipeg Jets
4-3
Win Probability
The Florida Panthers visit Winnipeg Jets in a tightly contested matchup where the simulation favours the home side slightly. Matthew Tkachuk projects at 63% to record more than half a point, while Mark Scheifele sits at 60%, making their respective contributions central to which way this game breaks. The outcome likely turns on whether Florida's depth scoring can keep pace with Winnipeg's, a question AccuScore has faced in similar spots: on games shaped this way against the home side, the model's record stands at 49% over 2449 graded contests. For the Panthers to emerge on the road, they would need secondary production beyond their top performers to offset Scheifele's scoring threat.
| Book | WIN | EV | FLA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +105 | +4.1% | -143 | -9.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +103 | +3.6% | -119 | -6.6% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Winnipeg Jets 53% to beat Florida Panthers (47%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Winnipeg Jets the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Winnipeg Jets a 53% chance of beating Florida Panthers, against 47% for Florida Panthers. Winnipeg Jets are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Florida Panthers and Winnipeg Jets come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Florida Panthers have won 3 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
Winnipeg Jets have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 32 times since 2011: Florida Panthers 14, Winnipeg Jets 18. The last meeting, on Jan 31, 2026, finished Winnipeg Jets 2, Florida Panthers 1.
Florida Panthers are 390-260 as favourite and 218-278 as underdog, and 286-307 on the road (48% of 593 games, 2011–2026).
Winnipeg Jets are 349-229 as favourite and 238-300 as underdog, and 329-244 at home (57% of 573 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | FLA | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 390-260 | 349-229 |
| As underdog | 218-278 | 238-300 |
| At home | 339-249 | 329-244 |
| On the road | 286-307 | 270-300 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →