Minnesota Wild
6-3
Utah Mammoth
7-4
Win Probability
Utah Mammoth hosts Minnesota Wild in a coin-flip matchup where the simulation barely favours the home side. Quinn Hughes projects at 64% to record more than 0.5 points, while Clayton Keller sits at 59%, making Utah's depth on the perimeter the deciding factor in a game that will likely turn on whether either team can sustain offensive pressure. The combined score has only a 40% chance of clearing the market total, suggesting a tighter contest than the goal projections alone indicate. AccuScore's historical record on games shaped like this one stands at 49% over 2,449 similar matchups. Minnesota would need to contain Mikhail Sergachev — who projects at 57% for more than 0.5 points — to steal this one on the road.
| Book | UTA | EV | MIN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -126 | -3.8% | -107 | -3.2% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -119 | -2.6% | +103 | -0.9% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Utah Mammoth 52% to beat Minnesota Wild (48%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Utah Mammoth the more likely winner at 52%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Utah Mammoth a 52% chance of beating Minnesota Wild, against 48% for Minnesota Wild. Utah Mammoth are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Minnesota Wild and Utah Mammoth come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Minnesota Wild have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first).
Utah Mammoth have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
Minnesota Wild are 383-247 as favourite and 208-284 as underdog, and 280-297 on the road (49% of 577 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | MIN | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 383-247 | — |
| As underdog | 208-284 | — |
| At home | 324-247 | — |
| On the road | 280-297 | — |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →