Buffalo Sabres
4-4
San Jose Sharks
6-4
Win Probability
The Buffalo Sabres travel to face the San Jose Sharks in a matchup where the simulation favours the visitors. Macklin Celebrini stands out as San Jose's most dangerous threat, carrying a 60% chance of posting more than 0.5 points, while Tage Thompson projects at 51% for the Sabres. The game hinges on whether Buffalo can convert their offensive chances; the model projects a narrow margin despite San Jose's home ice. AccuScore has gone 49% on calls shaped like this one across nearly 2700 graded games. For the Sharks to pull the upset, they would need to tighten their defensive structure and limit Thompson's impact.
| Book | SAN | EV | BUF | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -107 | -11.2% | -126 | +3.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +107 | -8.5% | -128 | +3.3% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Buffalo Sabres 60% to beat San Jose Sharks (40%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Buffalo Sabres the more likely winner at 60%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives San Jose Sharks a 40% chance of beating Buffalo Sabres, against 60% for Buffalo Sabres. San Jose Sharks are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Buffalo Sabres and San Jose Sharks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Buffalo Sabres have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
San Jose Sharks have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 23 times since 2012: Buffalo Sabres 15, San Jose Sharks 8. The last meeting, on Mar 19, 2026, finished Buffalo Sabres 5, San Jose Sharks 0.
Buffalo Sabres are 148-115 as favourite and 302-503 as underdog, and 212-333 on the road (39% of 545 games, 2011–2026).
San Jose Sharks are 276-225 as favourite and 228-399 as underdog, and 274-297 at home (48% of 571 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | BUF | SAN |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 148-115 | 276-225 |
| As underdog | 302-503 | 228-399 |
| At home | 249-299 | 274-297 |
| On the road | 212-333 | 237-337 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →