EPL • Mon, Nov 23, 20:00
Brentford hosts Everton in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. The model projects a low-scoring affair centered on whether Everton can generate enough attacking threat on the road; their projected 0.9 goals reflects how difficult the task figures to be.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
Free members get the daily Gold Pick delivered by email.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
EPL
AccuScore's simulation makes Brentford 60% to win, Everton 17%, with a 23% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Brentford the more likely winner at 60%, with a 23% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Brentford a 60% chance of beating Everton, with 17% for Everton and 23% for a draw. Brentford are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Everton and Brentford come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Everton have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 1 (W-L-L-D-L, most recent first).
Brentford have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 2 (W-D-L-D-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 10 times since 2021: Everton 3, Brentford 3, 4 drawn. The last meeting, on Apr 11, 2026, finished Everton 2, Brentford 2.