Los Angeles Clippers
1-1
Oklahoma City Thunder
2-0
Win Probability
Oklahoma City Thunder hosts a Los Angeles Clippers team looking to even its record, and the simulation decisively favors the home side. The Thunder's depth will be tested early: AccuScore projects Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for over 26.1 points in 67% of outcomes, while Kawhi Leonard lands above 22.3 points only 44% of the time. On games shaped like this one—home teams favored decisively—AccuScore's model has won 80% of the time across 820 graded matchups. The game turns on whether Los Angeles can generate enough perimeter scoring to stay within striking distance late; anything less, and Oklahoma City's depth overwhelms. For the Clippers to pull the upset, Leonard will need a dominant shooting night while Gilgeous-Alexander cools.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | OKC | EV | LAC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -967 | -5.3% | +685 | +24.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -771 | -4.2% | +637 | +20.0% |
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Oklahoma City Thunder 81% to beat Los Angeles Clippers (19%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Oklahoma City Thunder the more likely winner at 81%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Oklahoma City Thunder a 81% chance of beating Los Angeles Clippers, against 19% for Los Angeles Clippers. Oklahoma City Thunder are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Los Angeles Clippers and Oklahoma City Thunder come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Los Angeles Clippers have won 1 of their last 2 (L-W, most recent first).
Oklahoma City Thunder have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 62 times since 2010: Los Angeles Clippers 24, Oklahoma City Thunder 38. The last meeting, on Apr 8, 2026, finished Oklahoma City Thunder 128, Los Angeles Clippers 110.
Los Angeles Clippers are 605-253 as favourite and 162-293 as underdog, and 351-340 on the road (51% of 691 games, 2010–2026).
Oklahoma City Thunder are 680-251 as favourite and 160-271 as underdog, and 493-221 at home (69% of 714 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | LAC | OKC |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 605-253 | 680-251 |
| As underdog | 162-293 | 160-271 |
| At home | 453-241 | 493-221 |
| On the road | 351-340 | 377-331 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →