Memphis Grizzlies
2-0
Sacramento Kings
0-2
Win Probability
The Memphis Grizzlies travel to Sacramento to face the Kings in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors Memphis. The Grizzlies' depth should tell here: the model projects them to score over 125 points, with multiple offensive threats contributing across the floor. Sacramento's path back hinges entirely on its ability to slow that pace and force inefficiency; the simulation gives the Kings just under 116 points in this scenario. On games shaped like this one—70-80% win probability for the away side—AccuScore's record stands at 69% over 461 graded contests. Sacramento would need an outlier defensive performance to overcome the projection.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | SAC | EV | MEM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +140 | -15.3% | -161 | +7.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +155 | -13.2% | -179 | +5.4% |
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Memphis Grizzlies 71% to beat Sacramento Kings (29%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Memphis Grizzlies the more likely winner at 71%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Sacramento Kings a 29% chance of beating Memphis Grizzlies, against 71% for Memphis Grizzlies. Sacramento Kings are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Memphis Grizzlies and Sacramento Kings come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Memphis Grizzlies have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).
Sacramento Kings have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 56 times since 2010: Memphis Grizzlies 36, Sacramento Kings 20. The last meeting, on Feb 23, 2026, finished Sacramento Kings 123, Memphis Grizzlies 114.
Memphis Grizzlies are 437-193 as favourite and 228-435 as underdog, and 294-382 on the road (43% of 676 games, 2010–2026).
Sacramento Kings are 229-166 as favourite and 246-581 as underdog, and 287-357 at home (45% of 644 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | MEM | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 437-193 | 229-166 |
| As underdog | 228-435 | 246-581 |
| At home | 407-272 | 287-357 |
| On the road | 294-382 | 225-418 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →