NHL • Wed, Oct 28, 23:30
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Washington Capitals 75% to beat Philadelphia Flyers (25%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Washington Capitals the more likely winner at 75%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Washington Capitals a 75% chance of beating Philadelphia Flyers, against 25% for Philadelphia Flyers. Washington Capitals are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Philadelphia Flyers and Washington Capitals come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Philadelphia Flyers have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
Washington Capitals have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 65 times since 2011: Philadelphia Flyers 29, Washington Capitals 36. The last meeting, on Mar 31, 2026, finished Philadelphia Flyers 4, Washington Capitals 6.
Philadelphia Flyers are 237-182 as favourite and 275-419 as underdog, and 231-332 on the road (41% of 563 games, 2011–2026).
Washington Capitals are 457-285 as favourite and 196-232 as underdog, and 356-243 at home (59% of 599 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | PHI | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 237-182 | 457-285 |
| As underdog | 275-419 | 196-232 |
| At home | 289-279 | 356-243 |
| On the road | 231-332 | 313-284 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →