NBA
Brooklyn Nets
0-3
Boston Celtics
1-1
Win Probability
The Boston Celtics host the Brooklyn Nets in a matchup that strongly favours the home side. AccuScore's model has won 80% of its calls on games shaped like this one across 820 prior matchups, with similar games winning at a 7-8 clip in recent comparable situations. Boston's scoring depth will test Brooklyn's defence; the simulation projects the Celtics to reach the high 110s while the Nets struggle to crack 106. For Brooklyn to pull the upset, the team would need to manufacture stops at an elite rate and sustain offensive efficiency well above its season average. The game essentially turns on whether the Nets' guards can generate enough scoring volume to keep pace with Boston's projected output.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | BOS | EV | BRO | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -524 | -1.5% | +398 | -3.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -480 | -0.8% | +406 | -2.9% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Celtics 81% to beat Brooklyn Nets (19%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Celtics the more likely winner at 81%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Boston Celtics a 81% chance of beating Brooklyn Nets, against 19% for Brooklyn Nets. Boston Celtics are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Brooklyn Nets and Boston Celtics come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Brooklyn Nets have won 0 of their last 3 (L-L-L, most recent first).
Boston Celtics have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 71 times since 2010: Brooklyn Nets 23, Boston Celtics 48. The last meeting, on Feb 27, 2026, finished Brooklyn Nets 111, Boston Celtics 148.
Brooklyn Nets are 278-154 as favourite and 239-588 as underdog, and 241-421 on the road (36% of 662 games, 2010–2026).
Boston Celtics are 663-291 as favourite and 165-262 as underdog, and 493-234 at home (68% of 727 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | BRO | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 278-154 | 663-291 |
| As underdog | 239-588 | 165-262 |
| At home | 312-352 | 493-234 |
| On the road | 241-421 | 382-336 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →