Utah Mammoth
8-4
Pittsburgh Penguins
5-6
Win Probability
Pittsburgh Penguins host Utah Mammoth in a fixture the simulation barely separates—a coin-flip that hinges on scoring depth. Clayton Keller projects a 33% chance at multiple points, while Rickard Rakell sits at 48% to record any point at all, reflecting Utah's offensive concentration against Pittsburgh's distributed scoring. The model favours the Penguins slightly at home. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore has won 49% of the time across 2,451 graded matchups. Utah would need to suppress Pittsburgh's secondary scoring while generating production beyond Keller to pull off the road result.
| Book | PIT | EV | UTA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +105 | +2.8% | -136 | -7.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +121 | +6.9% | -140 | -8.4% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Pittsburgh Penguins 52% to beat Utah Mammoth (49%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Pittsburgh Penguins the more likely winner at 52%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Pittsburgh Penguins a 52% chance of beating Utah Mammoth, against 49% for Utah Mammoth. Pittsburgh Penguins are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Utah Mammoth and Pittsburgh Penguins come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Utah Mammoth have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
Pittsburgh Penguins have won 2 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2026: Utah Mammoth 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 0. The last meeting, on Oct 19, 2026, finished Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Utah Mammoth 5.
Pittsburgh Penguins are 461-308 as favourite and 164-217 as underdog, and 365-226 at home (62% of 591 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | UTA | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | — | 461-308 |
| As underdog | — | 164-217 |
| At home | — | 365-226 |
| On the road | — | 278-311 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →