Chicago Blackhawks
3-8
Detroit Red Wings
5-4
Win Probability
The Chicago Blackhawks travel to Detroit for a matchup the simulation favours clearly toward the Red Wings. Connor Bedard projects at 48% to record more than 0.5 points, while Detroit's Alex DeBrincat sits at 52%, a narrow separation that reflects how tightly matched the scoring potential runs. The game turns on whether Chicago can generate offence on the road; AccuScore's record on home-side leans of this probability shape stands at 49% over 2,451 games. For the Blackhawks to pull the upset, their secondary contributors would need to break through—Roman Kantserov enters at just 22% for a point, well below the team's top-line projection.
| Book | DET | EV | CHI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -197 | -6.3% | +154 | +3.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 5.5 | -172 | -16.9% | -110 | +5.6% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Red Wings 58% to beat Chicago Blackhawks (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Red Wings the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Detroit Red Wings a 58% chance of beating Chicago Blackhawks, against 42% for Chicago Blackhawks. Detroit Red Wings are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Chicago Blackhawks and Detroit Red Wings come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Chicago Blackhawks have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-W, most recent first).
Detroit Red Wings have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 40 times since 2011: Chicago Blackhawks 24, Detroit Red Wings 16. The last meeting, on Dec 13, 2025, finished Detroit Red Wings 4, Chicago Blackhawks 0.
Chicago Blackhawks are 253-191 as favourite and 242-429 as underdog, and 233-333 on the road (41% of 566 games, 2011–2026).
Detroit Red Wings are 206-172 as favourite and 264-439 as underdog, and 268-283 at home (49% of 551 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | CHI | DET |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 253-191 | 206-172 |
| As underdog | 242-429 | 264-439 |
| At home | 271-293 | 268-283 |
| On the road | 233-333 | 214-336 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →