Boston Bruins
9-2
St. Louis Blues
5-5
Win Probability
This matchup at Enterprise Center is genuinely a coin-flip: the simulation barely favours the St. Louis Blues over the visiting Boston Bruins. David Pastrnak carries a 66% chance of collecting more than 0.5 points, while Dylan Holloway projects at 57%, making secondary scoring the game's decisive layer. The model has called games shaped this way at 49% accuracy over 2,451 priors, a reminder that such narrow home advantages often vanish. For Boston to steal this one on the road, it will need Pastrnak to deliver while limiting Holloway's impact—a classic winger duel that could tilt the entire result either way.
| Book | STL | EV | BOS | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -112 | -2.2% | -112 | -3.2% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -109 | -1.6% | -105 | -1.7% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes St. Louis Blues 51% to beat Boston Bruins (50%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes St. Louis Blues the more likely winner at 51%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives St. Louis Blues a 51% chance of beating Boston Bruins, against 50% for Boston Bruins. St. Louis Blues are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Boston Bruins and St. Louis Blues come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Boston Bruins have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
St. Louis Blues have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 29 times since 2012: Boston Bruins 17, St. Louis Blues 12. The last meeting, on Dec 9, 2025, finished Boston Bruins 5, St. Louis Blues 2.
Boston Bruins are 526-329 as favourite and 143-168 as underdog, and 317-276 on the road (53% of 593 games, 2011–2026).
St. Louis Blues are 383-272 as favourite and 249-261 as underdog, and 337-254 at home (57% of 591 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | BOS | STL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 526-329 | 383-272 |
| As underdog | 143-168 | 249-261 |
| At home | 358-235 | 337-254 |
| On the road | 317-276 | 304-291 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →