Washington Capitals
6-4
Nashville Predators
4-3
Win Probability
The Washington Capitals travel to Nashville to face the Predators in a tight contest that the simulation favors Washington slightly. Roman Josi projects to a 54% chance of posting more than 0.5 points, leading Nashville's offensive case, while Jordan Kyrou sits at 47% for the visitors. The game hinges on secondary scoring: Filip Forsberg and Jakob Chychrun both project to 45-48% chances of breaking through, and whichever team converts those opportunities is likely to win. AccuScore's record on games shaped like this one—a slight lean to the visiting side—stands at 49% over 2,694 similar matchups. Nashville pulls off the upset if it limits Washington's depth from getting on the scoresheet.
| Book | NSH | EV | WAS | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -107 | -4.1% | -116 | -1.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -109 | -4.5% | -105 | +1.2% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Washington Capitals 53% to beat Nashville Predators (48%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Washington Capitals the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Nashville Predators a 48% chance of beating Washington Capitals, against 53% for Washington Capitals. Nashville Predators are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Washington Capitals and Nashville Predators come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Washington Capitals have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-L, most recent first).
Nashville Predators have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 24 times since 2011: Washington Capitals 9, Nashville Predators 15. The last meeting, on Feb 5, 2026, finished Nashville Predators 2, Washington Capitals 4.
Washington Capitals are 457-285 as favourite and 196-232 as underdog, and 313-284 on the road (52% of 597 games, 2011–2026).
Nashville Predators are 370-259 as favourite and 222-293 as underdog, and 339-248 at home (58% of 587 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | WAS | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 457-285 | 370-259 |
| As underdog | 196-232 | 222-293 |
| At home | 356-243 | 339-248 |
| On the road | 313-284 | 270-314 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →