New York Islanders
5-4
Minnesota Wild
8-3
Win Probability
Minnesota Wild hosts New York Islanders in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the home side. Quinn Hughes projects at a 67% chance of more than 0.5 points, while Kirill Kaprizov sits at 61%, giving Minnesota multiple scoring threats. For the Islanders, Matthew Schaefer has the best individual probability at 50%, though New York's scoring depth drops off sharply after that. The game hinges on whether New York can generate sustained offensive pressure despite travelling to a stronger roster. AccuScore's model has graded 2645 games shaped like this one and won 59% of them.
| Book | MIN | EV | NYI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -200 | +1.3% | +159 | -9.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -179 | +3.3% | +155 | -9.7% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Minnesota Wild 68% to beat New York Islanders (32%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Minnesota Wild the more likely winner at 68%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Minnesota Wild a 68% chance of beating New York Islanders, against 32% for New York Islanders. Minnesota Wild are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How New York Islanders and Minnesota Wild come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
New York Islanders have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first).
Minnesota Wild have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 23 times since 2011: New York Islanders 10, Minnesota Wild 13. The last meeting, on Jan 10, 2026, finished New York Islanders 4, Minnesota Wild 3.
New York Islanders are 309-226 as favourite and 257-339 as underdog, and 264-315 on the road (46% of 579 games, 2011–2026).
Minnesota Wild are 385-247 as favourite and 208-284 as underdog, and 324-247 at home (57% of 571 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | NYI | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 309-226 | 385-247 |
| As underdog | 257-339 | 208-284 |
| At home | 315-264 | 324-247 |
| On the road | 264-315 | 282-297 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →