Ottawa Senators
8-4
Los Angeles Kings
2-5
Win Probability
The Los Angeles Kings host the Ottawa Senators in a matchup that favors the home side slightly. Tim Stutzle projects to exceed 1 point in 35% of simulations, while Erik Haula clears the scoring line in 37%—a narrow gap that reflects how tightly AccuScore's model clusters these teams. Artemi Panarin has a 35% chance of posting multiple points, and how he performs relative to Stutzle will largely determine which way this game breaks. AccuScore has won at 49% on games shaped like this one across its track record. The Senators would need their road offence to outpace the Kings' slight home advantage to pull off the upset.
| Book | LOS | EV | OTT | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -103 | +2.3% | -126 | -7.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -101 | +2.8% | -114 | -6.0% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Kings 53% to beat Ottawa Senators (47%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Kings the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Los Angeles Kings a 53% chance of beating Ottawa Senators, against 47% for Ottawa Senators. Los Angeles Kings are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Ottawa Senators and Los Angeles Kings come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Ottawa Senators have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
Los Angeles Kings have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 23 times since 2012: Ottawa Senators 9, Los Angeles Kings 14. The last meeting, on Nov 24, 2025, finished Ottawa Senators 1, Los Angeles Kings 2.
Ottawa Senators are 204-150 as favourite and 309-450 as underdog, and 227-334 on the road (40% of 561 games, 2011–2026).
Los Angeles Kings are 342-267 as favourite and 209-291 as underdog, and 305-259 at home (54% of 564 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | OTT | LOS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 204-150 | 342-267 |
| As underdog | 309-450 | 209-291 |
| At home | 291-273 | 305-259 |
| On the road | 227-334 | 257-314 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →