Sacramento Kings
0-3
San Antonio Spurs
1-2
Win Probability
The San Antonio Spurs host a Sacramento Kings side that has yet to find a win, and the simulation strongly favours the home team. San Antonio's depth will be tested early; De'Aaron Fox projects to exceed 20 points in 62% of outcomes, while Victor Wembanyama clears 15 points in 68% of them, suggesting both teams can generate offence despite Sacramento's struggles. What matters most is whether the Kings can sustain that scoring into the second half—AccuScore's model has picked the favoured side in 7 of 8 similar matchups. Sacramento would need to keep pace in transition and limit second chances to have any path to an upset.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
1H SAC ML
SAC +490
-2.1% EV
15.8% leads · push 2.6%
Betano ↗
1H SA ML
SA -714
-2.2% EV
81.6% leads · push 2.6%
Betano ↗
2-way moneyline: a tie at the half returns the stake, so the tie is priced as a push.
| Book | Line | SA | EV | SAC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | -18 | +101 | -5.1% | -116 | +1.6% |
| Betfair ↗ | -18.5 | -111 | -9.1% | -111 | +4.2% |
| Betano ↗ | -17.5 | -118 | -7.1% | -105 | +2.3% |
| bet365 ↗ | -18.5 | -105 | -8.0% | -116 | +3.1% |
| Novig ↗ | -17.5 | -108 | -5.3% | +104 | +4.7% |
| Book | SA | EV | SAC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -1429 | -1.9% | +1074 | +9.3% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -1399 | -1.8% | +963 | +3.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 230 | -110 | -3.6% | -104 | +0.5% |
| Betfair ↗ | 229.5 | -111 | -2.8% | -111 | -2.2% |
| Betano ↗ | 229.5 | -115 | -3.5% | -105 | -0.9% |
| bet365 ↗ | 230 | -125 | -6.2% | -105 | +0.3% |
| Novig ↗ | 230.5 | +100 | -2.7% | -104 | +1.7% |
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes San Antonio Spurs 90% to beat Sacramento Kings (10%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes San Antonio Spurs the more likely winner at 90%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives San Antonio Spurs a 90% chance of beating Sacramento Kings, against 10% for Sacramento Kings. San Antonio Spurs are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Sacramento Kings and San Antonio Spurs come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Sacramento Kings have won 0 of their last 3 (L-L-L, most recent first).
San Antonio Spurs have won 1 of their last 3 (W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 54 times since 2011: Sacramento Kings 17, San Antonio Spurs 37. The last meeting, on Mar 17, 2026, finished San Antonio Spurs 132, Sacramento Kings 104.
Sacramento Kings are 229-166 as favourite and 246-582 as underdog, and 225-418 on the road (35% of 643 games, 2010–2026).
San Antonio Spurs are 636-213 as favourite and 162-312 as underdog, and 464-225 at home (67% of 689 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | SAC | SA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 229-166 | 636-213 |
| As underdog | 246-582 | 162-312 |
| At home | 287-358 | 464-225 |
| On the road | 225-418 | 349-347 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →