Charlotte Hornets
3-1
Detroit Pistons
3-0
Win Probability
The Detroit Pistons host a Charlotte Hornets side looking to extend their early-season form, though the simulation decisively favours the home team. Cade Cunningham has a 49% chance of exceeding 39 combined points, rebounds and assists, while Naz Reid carries a 49% chance of surpassing 25—a near-toss-up at the margins that masks Detroit's overall control. The game hinges on whether Charlotte's perimeter scorers can sustain offensive pressure; Grayson Allen needs to beat 25 combined to keep pace. AccuScore's model has gone 69% on games shaped like this one across 1273 prior matchups. For the Hornets to pull the upset, their depth would need to overwhelm Detroit's projected scoring advantage.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | DET | EV | CHA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig ↗ | -7.5 | -106 | -1.3% | -113 | -3.0% |
| Book | DET | EV | CHA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -250 | -0.6% | +208 | -4.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -258 | -1.0% | +222 | -2.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig ↗ | 215.5 | -108 | -2.4% | -113 | -2.3% |
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Pistons 71% to beat Charlotte Hornets (29%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Pistons the more likely winner at 71%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Detroit Pistons a 71% chance of beating Charlotte Hornets, against 29% for Charlotte Hornets. Detroit Pistons are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Charlotte Hornets and Detroit Pistons come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Charlotte Hornets have won 3 of their last 4 (W-W-L-W, most recent first).
Detroit Pistons have won 3 of their last 3 (W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 57 times since 2010: Charlotte Hornets 30, Detroit Pistons 27. The last meeting, on Apr 10, 2026, finished Detroit Pistons 118, Charlotte Hornets 100.
Charlotte Hornets are 248-133 as favourite and 245-593 as underdog, and 218-427 on the road (34% of 645 games, 2010–2026).
Detroit Pistons are 271-170 as favourite and 226-566 as underdog, and 305-343 at home (47% of 648 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | CHA | DET |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 248-133 | 271-170 |
| As underdog | 245-593 | 226-566 |
| At home | 295-347 | 305-343 |
| On the road | 218-427 | 207-442 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →