New Jersey Devils
8-4
Vegas Golden Knights
9-4
Win Probability
When the New Jersey Devils visit the Vegas Golden Knights, the simulation favours the home side clearly. Mitch Marner projects at 62% to record more than 0.5 points, while Jack Hughes sits at 58%, making offensive execution the game's deciding factor. Vegas Golden Knights hold the advantage in how the model sees this matchup play out. On games shaped like this one—60 to 70 percent leans backing the home team—AccuScore's record stands at 59% across 2,647 prior games. For New Jersey Devils to pull the upset, they would need to neutralize Vegas Golden Knights' scoring depth and capitalize on their own chances at higher volume than the simulation projects.
| Book | VGK | EV | NJ | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -136 | +5.9% | +105 | -13.5% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -119 | +9.3% | +103 | -13.9% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Vegas Golden Knights 64% to beat New Jersey Devils (36%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Vegas Golden Knights the more likely winner at 64%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Vegas Golden Knights a 64% chance of beating New Jersey Devils, against 36% for New Jersey Devils. Vegas Golden Knights are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How New Jersey Devils and Vegas Golden Knights come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
New Jersey Devils have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
Vegas Golden Knights have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 16 times since 2018: New Jersey Devils 6, Vegas Golden Knights 10. The last meeting, on Dec 17, 2025, finished New Jersey Devils 2, Vegas Golden Knights 1.
New Jersey Devils are 255-194 as favourite and 246-403 as underdog, and 249-316 on the road (44% of 565 games, 2011–2026).
Vegas Golden Knights are 372-227 as favourite and 107-119 as underdog, and 267-158 at home (63% of 425 games, 2017–2026).
| Record | NJ | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 255-194 | 372-227 |
| As underdog | 246-403 | 107-119 |
| At home | 265-296 | 267-158 |
| On the road | 249-316 | 220-197 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →