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← Today's Edges
NHL•Fri, Oct 30 • 11:00 PMSilver Edge
WIN

Winnipeg Jets

4-5

VS
FLA

Florida Panthers

7-4

Win Probability

Moneyline

WIN

+166

39.3% win prob

EV +2.3%

Kalshi

Moneyline

FLA

-196

60.7% win prob

EV -4.2%

Polymarket

Analysis

The Florida Panthers host the Winnipeg Jets in a matchup where the simulation favours the home side clearly. Matthew Tkachuk projects at 68% to record more than 0.5 points, while Mark Scheifele sits at 56%—a gap that reflects Florida's offensive depth advantage. Seth Jones carries a 60% projection, giving the Panthers multiple scoring threats the Jets will need to contain. AccuScore's model has produced a 59% win rate over 2,647 games of similar shape, a record that slightly underperforms expectations. For Winnipeg to pull the upset on the road, it would need to suppress Florida's high-volume scoring chances while generating consistent offence of its own.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Puck Line (-1.5/+1.5)WIN -1.5
6.50-6.5
WIN Cover
28.7%
no odds at this line
FLA Cover
71.3%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 6
0.56.7513
Over Cover
45.4%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
42.8%
no odds at this line
Push 11.8% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

FLA WIN
Sort:

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

BookFLAEVWINEV
Kalshi ↗-200-4.5%+166+2.3%
Polymarket ↗-196-4.2%+162+1.5%

Where to Bet

silver
WIN ML+2.3% EV

Win probability: 39.3%

Kalshi
+166Bet →
Polymarket
+162Bet →

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NHL

Winnipeg Jets vs Florida Panthers Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Fri, Oct 30, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes Florida Panthers 61% to beat Winnipeg Jets (39%).

Projection updated Oct 28, 10:21 AM ET

Who will win Winnipeg Jets vs Florida Panthers?

AccuScore's simulation makes Florida Panthers the more likely winner at 61%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Florida Panthers beat Winnipeg Jets?

AccuScore's simulation gives Florida Panthers a 61% chance of beating Winnipeg Jets, against 39% for Winnipeg Jets. Florida Panthers are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Every Winnipeg Jets vs Florida Panthers meeting →Winnipeg Jets predictions & record →Florida Panthers predictions & record →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Winnipeg Jets and Florida Panthers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Winnipeg JetsLLLLL
  • Oct 27vs Florida PanthersL 1–5
  • Oct 25vs Montreal CanadiensL 1–2
  • Oct 22at Dallas StarsL 2–3
  • Oct 20at St. Louis BluesL 1–2
  • Oct 17vs Carolina HurricanesL 2–3

Winnipeg Jets have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).

Florida PanthersWWLLW
  • Oct 27at Winnipeg JetsW 5–1
  • Oct 25at Chicago BlackhawksW 3–2
  • Oct 22at Pittsburgh PenguinsL 0–4
  • Oct 21at Ottawa SenatorsL 1–5
  • Oct 17vs Seattle KrakenW 8–3

Florida Panthers have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-W, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 33 times since 2011: Winnipeg Jets 18, Florida Panthers 15. The last meeting, on Oct 27, 2026, finished Florida Panthers 5, Winnipeg Jets 1.

  • Oct 27, 2026FLA 5 – 1 WIN
  • Jan 31, 2026WIN 2 – 1 FLA
  • Jan 22, 2026FLA 2 – 1 WIN
  • Nov 19, 2024FLA 3 – 6 WIN
  • Nov 16, 2024WIN 0 – 5 FLA
Every Winnipeg Jets vs Florida Panthers meeting →

Betting trends

Winnipeg Jets are 349-229 as favourite and 238-302 as underdog, and 270-300 on the road (47% of 570 games, 2011–2026).

Florida Panthers are 392-260 as favourite and 218-278 as underdog, and 339-249 at home (58% of 588 games, 2011–2026).

RecordWINFLA
As favourite349-229392-260
As underdog238-302218-278
At home329-246339-249
On the road270-300288-307

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →