Chicago Blackhawks
4-8
Boston Bruins
9-3
Win Probability
The Boston Bruins host the visiting Chicago Blackhawks in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the home side. David Pastrnak projects as the game's most dangerous individual contributor at 68% to record more than 0.5 points, while Connor Bedard sits at 46% despite playing for the visitor. The Blackhawks' secondary scoring will determine whether they can stay close: Patrick Kane has a 44% chance to reach the scoresheet, but Roman Kantserov sits at just 22%, suggesting depth is the real question. AccuScore's model has historically converted these home-favoured matchups at a 59% win rate across 2647 graded games, though in eight structurally similar games sampled separately, the favoured side won only three. Chicago would need to get contributions from players deeper in its lineup and limit Pastrnak's impact to have a realistic path to the upset.
| Book | BOS | EV | CHI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -239 | -1.6% | +181 | -5.3% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -245 | -2.0% | +212 | -0.4% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Bruins 68% to beat Chicago Blackhawks (32%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Bruins the more likely winner at 68%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Boston Bruins a 68% chance of beating Chicago Blackhawks, against 32% for Chicago Blackhawks. Boston Bruins are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Chicago Blackhawks and Boston Bruins come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Chicago Blackhawks have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
Boston Bruins have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 23 times since 2011: Chicago Blackhawks 7, Boston Bruins 16. The last meeting, on Jan 17, 2026, finished Boston Bruins 5, Chicago Blackhawks 2.
Chicago Blackhawks are 253-191 as favourite and 242-429 as underdog, and 233-333 on the road (41% of 566 games, 2011–2026).
Boston Bruins are 526-329 as favourite and 143-169 as underdog, and 358-235 at home (60% of 593 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | CHI | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 253-191 | 526-329 |
| As underdog | 242-429 | 143-169 |
| At home | 272-293 | 358-235 |
| On the road | 233-333 | 317-277 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →