St. Louis Blues
5-6
Detroit Red Wings
5-4
Win Probability
The St. Louis Blues travel to Detroit to face the Red Wings in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the visiting side. Dylan Holloway projects as the game's most likely contributor to the score sheet at 60%, while Detroit's Alex DeBrincat sits at 48%—a gap that reflects where the model sees offensive advantage. The contest hinges on whether St. Louis can convert that projected scoring edge into goals, as the combined output sits near the total line. On similar win-probability shapes across other matchups, AccuScore has gone 3-5, a reminder that chalk does not always cash. Detroit would need to suppress the Blues' scoring chances and generate timely production from role players to pull off the upset at home.
| Book | DET | EV | STL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -121 | -15.3% | -116 | +7.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -114 | -14.3% | -101 | +11.7% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes St. Louis Blues 62% to beat Detroit Red Wings (38%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes St. Louis Blues the more likely winner at 62%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Detroit Red Wings a 38% chance of beating St. Louis Blues, against 62% for St. Louis Blues. Detroit Red Wings are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How St. Louis Blues and Detroit Red Wings come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
St. Louis Blues have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first).
Detroit Red Wings have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 32 times since 2011: St. Louis Blues 15, Detroit Red Wings 17. The last meeting, on Oct 28, 2025, finished Detroit Red Wings 5, St. Louis Blues 2.
St. Louis Blues are 383-272 as favourite and 249-262 as underdog, and 304-291 on the road (51% of 595 games, 2011–2026).
Detroit Red Wings are 206-172 as favourite and 264-439 as underdog, and 268-283 at home (49% of 551 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | STL | DET |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 383-272 | 206-172 |
| As underdog | 249-262 | 264-439 |
| At home | 337-255 | 268-283 |
| On the road | 304-291 | 214-336 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →