Edmonton Oilers
8-2
New York Islanders
6-4
Win Probability
The Edmonton Oilers travel to face the New York Islanders with the simulation favoring the visitors. Connor McDavid projects to record a point in this matchup at 84%, while Leon Draisaitl sits at 73%—a pair of scoring threats the Islanders will need to contain. Matthew Schaefer offers the hosts their best individual scoring probability at 56%, but that gap illustrates where this game tilts. On similar win-probability shapes across eight prior games, AccuScore's favored side won just three times, a reminder that emphatic leans do not always cash. New York would need to neutralize Edmonton's scoring punch and find production beyond Schaefer to pull the upset.
| Book | NYI | EV | EDM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +101 | -12.0% | -131 | +4.8% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +103 | -11.6% | -119 | +7.2% |
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers 62% to beat New York Islanders (38%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers the more likely winner at 62%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New York Islanders a 38% chance of beating Edmonton Oilers, against 62% for Edmonton Oilers. New York Islanders are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Edmonton Oilers and New York Islanders come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Edmonton Oilers have won 3 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
New York Islanders have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 22 times since 2011: Edmonton Oilers 12, New York Islanders 10. The last meeting, on Jan 15, 2026, finished New York Islanders 1, Edmonton Oilers 0.
Edmonton Oilers are 352-257 as favourite and 230-323 as underdog, and 280-316 on the road (47% of 596 games, 2011–2026).
New York Islanders are 309-226 as favourite and 258-339 as underdog, and 315-264 at home (54% of 579 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | EDM | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 352-257 | 309-226 |
| As underdog | 230-323 | 258-339 |
| At home | 311-277 | 315-264 |
| On the road | 280-316 | 265-315 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →