Buffalo Sabres
5-4
Los Angeles Kings
3-6
Win Probability
The Buffalo Sabres travel to Los Angeles to face the Kings in a matchup the simulation favours slightly to the visitors. Rasmus Dahlin projects at a 51% chance of exceeding 0.5 points, while Artemi Panarin sits at 51% as well, suggesting both offences will have chances to generate offence. The game turns on whether Los Angeles can stay within a margin that hinges on secondary scoring; Brandt Clarke carries only a 44% projection to reach 0.5 points. On games shaped like this one—away teams favoured by a small margin—AccuScore's model has won 49% over nearly 2700 graded decisions. The Kings would need sustained possession and execution beyond their top names to pull the upset.
| Book | LOS | EV | BUF | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -107 | -4.3% | -126 | -2.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -109 | -4.7% | -105 | +1.5% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Buffalo Sabres 53% to beat Los Angeles Kings (47%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Buffalo Sabres the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Los Angeles Kings a 47% chance of beating Buffalo Sabres, against 53% for Buffalo Sabres. Los Angeles Kings are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Buffalo Sabres and Los Angeles Kings come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Buffalo Sabres have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
Los Angeles Kings have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 23 times since 2011: Buffalo Sabres 14, Los Angeles Kings 9. The last meeting, on Mar 21, 2026, finished Buffalo Sabres 4, Los Angeles Kings 1.
Buffalo Sabres are 149-115 as favourite and 302-504 as underdog, and 213-334 on the road (39% of 547 games, 2011–2026).
Los Angeles Kings are 342-267 as favourite and 210-291 as underdog, and 305-259 at home (54% of 564 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | BUF | LOS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 149-115 | 342-267 |
| As underdog | 302-504 | 210-291 |
| At home | 249-299 | 305-259 |
| On the road | 213-334 | 258-315 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →