Ottawa Senators
8-5
San Jose Sharks
6-6
Win Probability
The Ottawa Senators travel to face the San Jose Sharks in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the visiting side. Tim Stutzle projects at 58% to record more than 0.5 points, while Jake Sanderson sits at 60%, giving Ottawa multiple scoring threats. San Jose's best bet offensively is Macklin Celebrini at 63% to reach that mark, but the Sharks lack the secondary support that the Senators bring. The game hinges on whether Ottawa's depth can convert scoring chances into goals before San Jose finds its footing at home. AccuScore's model has gone 59% on similar win-probability shapes across 1074 past games, a record that suggests backing the visiting favourite carries modest historical merit.
| Book | SAN | EV | OTT | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +105 | -10.2% | -131 | +4.0% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +111 | -9.1% | -128 | +4.5% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Ottawa Senators 61% to beat San Jose Sharks (39%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Ottawa Senators the more likely winner at 61%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives San Jose Sharks a 39% chance of beating Ottawa Senators, against 61% for Ottawa Senators. San Jose Sharks are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Ottawa Senators and San Jose Sharks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Ottawa Senators have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-L, most recent first).
San Jose Sharks have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 24 times since 2012: Ottawa Senators 16, San Jose Sharks 8. The last meeting, on Oct 22, 2026, finished San Jose Sharks 6, Ottawa Senators 2.
Ottawa Senators are 204-150 as favourite and 309-451 as underdog, and 227-335 on the road (40% of 562 games, 2011–2026).
San Jose Sharks are 276-225 as favourite and 228-401 as underdog, and 274-298 at home (48% of 572 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | OTT | SAN |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 204-150 | 276-225 |
| As underdog | 309-451 | 228-401 |
| At home | 291-273 | 274-298 |
| On the road | 227-335 | 237-338 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →