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← Today's Edges
NHL•Sat, Oct 31 • 11:00 PMSilver Edge
PIT

Pittsburgh Penguins

5-6

VS
MON

Montreal Canadiens

7-3

Win Probability

Moneyline

PIT

+116

58.1% win prob

EV +12.7%

Polymarket

Moneyline

MON

-140

41.9% win prob

EV -14.1%

Polymarket

Analysis

Pittsburgh Penguins travel to Montreal Canadiens in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the visiting side. Erik Karlsson projects as the likeliest point producer at 55%, while Lane Hutson leads the home side at 52%—a thin margin that underscores how evenly matched the offensive weapons are. The game turns on whether Pittsburgh's depth can sustain scoring; Sidney Crosby sits at just 41% to record a point, suggesting the Penguins will need contributions beyond their star centre. AccuScore's record on away-side leans shaped like this one stands at 49% across 2,696 games, a cautionary note on backing the visitor. Montreal would need to steal this as a low-scoring affair to pull the upset.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Puck Line (-1.5/+1.5)PIT -1.5
71-5
PIT Cover
44.5%
no odds at this line
MON Cover
55.5%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 5.5
0.56.2512
Over Cover
40.4%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
59.6%
no odds at this line

Player Props

MON PIT
Sort:

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

BookMONEVPITEV
Kalshi ↗-155-15.5%+114+12.2%
Polymarket ↗-140-14.1%+116+12.7%

Where to Bet

silver
PIT ML+12.7% EV

Win probability: 58.1%

Polymarket
+116Bet →
Kalshi
+114Bet →

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NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes Pittsburgh Penguins 58% to beat Montreal Canadiens (42%).

Projection updated Oct 28, 10:21 AM ET

Who will win Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens?

AccuScore's simulation makes Pittsburgh Penguins the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Montreal Canadiens beat Pittsburgh Penguins?

AccuScore's simulation gives Montreal Canadiens a 42% chance of beating Pittsburgh Penguins, against 58% for Pittsburgh Penguins. Montreal Canadiens are at home but the underdog on these numbers.

Every Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens meeting →Pittsburgh Penguins predictions & record →Montreal Canadiens predictions & record →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Pittsburgh Penguins and Montreal Canadiens come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Pittsburgh PenguinsWWLLL
  • Oct 24vs Nashville PredatorsW 3–2
  • Oct 22vs Florida PanthersW 4–0
  • Oct 19at Utah MammothL 4–5
  • Oct 17at Vegas Golden KnightsL 2–6
  • Oct 16at Colorado AvalancheL 2–5

Pittsburgh Penguins have won 2 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-L, most recent first).

Montreal CanadiensWWWLW
  • Oct 27at St. Louis BluesW 2–0
  • Oct 25at Winnipeg JetsW 2–1
  • Oct 23at Chicago BlackhawksW 4–1
  • Oct 20vs San Jose SharksL 3–4
  • Oct 17vs Buffalo SabresW 4–3

Montreal Canadiens have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-W, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 45 times since 2011: Pittsburgh Penguins 28, Montreal Canadiens 17. The last meeting, on Oct 3, 2026, finished Montreal Canadiens 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 6.

  • Oct 3, 2026MON 5 – 6 PIT
  • Dec 21, 2025MON 3 – 4 PIT
  • Dec 20, 2025PIT 0 – 4 MON
  • Dec 11, 2025MON 4 – 2 PIT
  • Dec 12, 2024PIT 9 – 2 MON
Every Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens meeting →

Betting trends

Pittsburgh Penguins are 461-308 as favourite and 164-217 as underdog, and 278-311 on the road (47% of 589 games, 2011–2026).

Montreal Canadiens are 243-196 as favourite and 279-419 as underdog, and 281-298 at home (49% of 579 games, 2011–2026).

RecordPITMON
As favourite461-308243-196
As underdog164-217279-419
At home365-226281-298
On the road278-311252-327

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →