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← Today's Edges
NHL•Sat, Oct 31 • 11:00 PMSilver Edge
TOR

Toronto Maple Leafs

7-5

VS
VAN

Vancouver Canucks

3-10

Win Probability

Moneyline

TOR

-187

53.3% win prob

EV -9.1%

Polymarket

Moneyline

VAN

+162

46.7% win prob

EV +11.2%

Polymarket

Analysis

Toronto Maple Leafs visit Vancouver Canucks in a matchup where the simulation favours the visitors slightly. Auston Matthews and William Nylander each carry a 66% chance of posting more than 0.5 points, making Toronto's depth scoring the game's decisive factor. Vancouver's scoring punch is thinner: Jake DeBrusk sits at 40%, and Filip Chytil at 35%. On games shaped like this one across AccuScore's history, the favoured away side won just 49% of the time. For Vancouver to pull the upset, it would need its secondary scoring to outperform projection.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Puck Line (-1.5/+1.5)TOR -1.5
6-0.25-6.5
TOR Cover
31.1%
no odds at this line
VAN Cover
68.9%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 6.5
0.56.7513
Over Cover
48.4%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
51.6%
no odds at this line

Player Props

VAN TOR
Sort:

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

BookVANEVTOREV
Kalshi ↗+140+6.0%-200-10.0%
Polymarket ↗+162+11.2%-187-9.1%

Where to Bet

silver
VAN ML+11.2% EV

Win probability: 46.7%

Polymarket
+162Bet →
Kalshi
+140Bet →

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NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes Toronto Maple Leafs 53% to beat Vancouver Canucks (47%).

Projection updated Oct 28, 10:21 AM ET

Who will win Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks?

AccuScore's simulation makes Toronto Maple Leafs the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Vancouver Canucks beat Toronto Maple Leafs?

AccuScore's simulation gives Vancouver Canucks a 47% chance of beating Toronto Maple Leafs, against 53% for Toronto Maple Leafs. Vancouver Canucks are at home but the underdog on these numbers.

Every Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks meeting →Toronto Maple Leafs predictions & record →Vancouver Canucks predictions & record →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Toronto Maple Leafs and Vancouver Canucks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Toronto Maple LeafsLWWWW
  • Oct 26at Calgary FlamesL 2–5
  • Oct 24at Edmonton OilersW 7–2
  • Oct 22vs New York RangersW 5–4
  • Oct 20at Columbus Blue JacketsW 6–2
  • Oct 19vs San Jose SharksW 3–1

Toronto Maple Leafs have won 4 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first).

Vancouver CanucksWLLLL
  • Oct 27at Anaheim DucksW 6–5
  • Oct 25vs Minnesota WildL 2–4
  • Oct 22vs Detroit Red WingsL 2–5
  • Oct 20vs Carolina HurricanesL 3–6
  • Oct 17at Tampa Bay LightningL 2–4

Vancouver Canucks have won 1 of their last 5 (W-L-L-L-L, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 33 times since 2011: Toronto Maple Leafs 17, Vancouver Canucks 16. The last meeting, on Jan 31, 2026, finished Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Vancouver Canucks 2.

  • Jan 31, 2026TOR 3 – 2 VAN
  • Jan 10, 2026VAN 0 – 5 TOR
  • Feb 8, 2025TOR 1 – 2 VAN
  • Jan 11, 2025VAN 3 – 0 TOR
  • Jan 20, 2024TOR 4 – 6 VAN
Every Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks meeting →

Betting trends

Toronto Maple Leafs are 387-279 as favourite and 196-266 as underdog, and 276-299 on the road (48% of 575 games, 2011–2026).

Vancouver Canucks are 224-185 as favourite and 284-396 as underdog, and 271-290 at home (48% of 561 games, 2011–2026).

RecordTORVAN
As favourite387-279224-185
As underdog196-266284-396
At home320-260271-290
On the road276-299253-309

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →