Columbus Blue Jackets
5-5
Dallas Stars
7-4
Win Probability
When the Columbus Blue Jackets visit Dallas Stars, the simulation favors the home side clearly. Mikko Rantanen and Jason Robertson each project to a 61% chance of recording more than 0.5 points, embodying Dallas's offensive threat, while Zach Werenski sits at 43% for the visitors. The game turns on whether Columbus can generate secondary scoring; Charlie Coyle stands at only 40% to reach that mark. AccuScore's model has graded 2,647 games shaped like this one—favoring the home side at 60–70% win probability—and won 59% of them. For Columbus to pull the upset, role players beyond Werenski would need to find the back of the net.
| Book | DAL | EV | CLS | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -200 | -4.2% | +140 | -3.2% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -187 | -3.2% | +162 | +1.1% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas Stars 61% to beat Columbus Blue Jackets (39%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas Stars the more likely winner at 61%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Dallas Stars a 61% chance of beating Columbus Blue Jackets, against 39% for Columbus Blue Jackets. Dallas Stars are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Columbus Blue Jackets and Dallas Stars come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Columbus Blue Jackets have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
Dallas Stars have won 4 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 35 times since 2011: Columbus Blue Jackets 19, Dallas Stars 16. The last meeting, on Jan 22, 2026, finished Dallas Stars 0, Columbus Blue Jackets 1.
Columbus Blue Jackets are 211-137 as favourite and 291-463 as underdog, and 223-332 on the road (40% of 555 games, 2011–2026).
Dallas Stars are 423-288 as favourite and 206-255 as underdog, and 345-256 at home (57% of 601 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | CLS | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 211-137 | 423-288 |
| As underdog | 291-463 | 206-255 |
| At home | 284-273 | 345-256 |
| On the road | 223-332 | 303-298 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →