EPL • Fri, Nov 27, 20:00
Nottingham Forest hosts Chelsea in a fixture where the simulation clearly favours the home side. For Chelsea to prevail as visitors, they would need to overturn a substantial lean and limit Forest's threat at the City Ground, where the numbers suggest the hosts hold the advantage.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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EPL
AccuScore's simulation makes Nottingham Forest 46% to win, Chelsea 29%, with a 25% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Nottingham Forest the more likely winner at 46%, with a 25% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Nottingham Forest a 46% chance of beating Chelsea, with 29% for Chelsea and 25% for a draw. Nottingham Forest are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Chelsea and Nottingham Forest come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Chelsea have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
Nottingham Forest have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 1 (W-L-D-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 8 times since 2023: Chelsea 3, Nottingham Forest 2, 3 drawn. The last meeting, on May 2, 2026, finished Nottingham Forest 3, Chelsea 1.