Bundesliga • Sat, Nov 28, 14:30
Cologne hosts Elversberg in a Bundesliga fixture where the simulation decisively favors the home side. Cologne's attack is projected to generate 2.4 goals, with the away team expected to manage 1.2, making this matchup turn on whether Elversberg can generate enough of an attacking threat to keep pace. In games where AccuScore's model has leaned this strongly toward the home team, that side won 61% of the time across 6,876 comparable fixtures.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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Bundesliga
AccuScore's simulation makes Koln 62% to win, Elversberg 17%, with a 21% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Koln the more likely winner at 62%, with a 21% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Koln a 62% chance of beating Elversberg, with 17% for Elversberg and 21% for a draw. Koln are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Elversberg and Koln come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Elversberg have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-L, most recent first).
Koln have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 2 (L-D-D-L-W, most recent first).