Serie A • Sat, Nov 28, 19:45
When Genoa travels to Inter Milan in Serie A, the simulation decisively favors the hosts. AccuScore's model has leaned this heavily toward the home side in the past 1,968 graded games at a 75% win rate, and across eight other statistically similar matchups, the favored team won five. The outcome hinges on whether Genoa can generate enough attacking threat to stay competitive; the projected scoreline suggests Inter will control possession and clinical finishing will decide the game.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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Serie A
AccuScore's simulation makes Inter Milan 80% to win, Genoa 6%, with a 14% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Inter Milan the more likely winner at 80%, with a 14% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Inter Milan a 80% chance of beating Genoa, with 6% for Genoa and 14% for a draw. Inter Milan are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Genoa and Inter Milan come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Genoa have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
Inter Milan have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).