Hull City
Crystal Palace
Win Probability
Moneyline
HUL
+310
14.2% win prob
EV -20.9%
bet365
Draw
Draw
+289
25% prob
EV -0.6%
Pinnacle
Moneyline
CRY
-120
60.4% win prob
EV +5.4%
Pinnacle
Crystal Palace hosts Hull City in a fixture the model favours decisively. The simulation projects a low-scoring affair, with a 0–1 scoreline appearing in 18% of 50,000 runs. For Hull City to upset the travelling disadvantage, they would need to penetrate Crystal Palace's setup in a way the model rates as unlikely; historically, when AccuScore leaned this heavily toward a home side, that side won 61% of comparable matchups. The game turns on whether Hull City can create enough to threaten, something the model rates as improbable given the projected scoring environment. An away victory would require the sort of upset the numbers suggest happens in roughly one in seven attempts.
| Book | HUL | EV | Draw | EV | CRY | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +305 | -21.2% | +289 | -0.6% | -120 | +5.4% |
| bet365 ↗ | +310 | -20.9% | +260 | -4.3% | -125 | +4.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3 | +120 | -20.5% | -145 | +12.6% |
| bet365 ↗ | 2.5 | -125 | -16.3% | +100 | +12.5% |
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
EPL
AccuScore's simulation makes Crystal Palace 60% to win, Hull City 14%, with a 25% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Crystal Palace the more likely winner at 60%, with a 25% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Crystal Palace a 60% chance of beating Hull City, with 14% for Hull City and 25% for a draw. Crystal Palace are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Hull City and Crystal Palace come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Hull City have won 0 of their last 5, drawing 3 (L-D-D-L-D, most recent first).
Crystal Palace have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-W, most recent first).