La Liga • Mon, Nov 30, 20:00
Getafe travels to face Espanyol in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the home side. Across 50,000 simulations, AccuScore projects a low-scoring contest, with Espanyol most likely to prevail by a single goal. On games where the model has leaned this strongly toward one side, that team won 44% of the time across 14,411 comparable fixtures.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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La Liga
AccuScore's simulation makes Espanyol 40% to win, Getafe 26%, with a 35% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Espanyol the more likely winner at 40%, with a 35% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Espanyol a 40% chance of beating Getafe, with 26% for Getafe and 35% for a draw. Espanyol are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Getafe and Espanyol come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Getafe have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 1 (L-W-L-D-L, most recent first).
Espanyol have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 2 (D-W-L-L-D, most recent first).
The teams have met 18 times since 2014: Getafe 7, Espanyol 8, 3 drawn. The last meeting, on Mar 21, 2026, finished Getafe 2, Espanyol 1.