Analysis

Racing Santander travels to face Levante in a coin-flip fixture where the simulation barely favours the visitors. The projected score of 1.4–1.3 masks a game likely to be tight; the most probable outcome is a 1–1 draw at 12% of simulations. On games shaped this way, AccuScore's model won 38% of the time across 9,093 graded matchups. Goals will be scarce—there is only a 28% chance the combined score exceeds the market total. For Levante to overturn the slight lean toward Racing Santander, the hosts will need to convert their chances at a higher rate than either team's projection suggests.