La Liga • Sun, Nov 29, 20:00
Real Sociedad hosts Sevilla in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the home side. On games where the model has leaned this strongly toward the home side, that team won 52% of the time across nearly 11,000 similar fixtures. For Sevilla to escape with a result, converting limited chances into goals will be essential.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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La Liga
AccuScore's simulation makes Real Sociedad 50% to win, Sevilla 23%, with a 27% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Real Sociedad the more likely winner at 50%, with a 27% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Real Sociedad a 50% chance of beating Sevilla, with 23% for Sevilla and 27% for a draw. Real Sociedad are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Sevilla and Real Sociedad come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Sevilla have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 2 (D-L-W-L-D, most recent first).
Real Sociedad have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 16 times since 2017: Sevilla 8, Real Sociedad 5, 3 drawn. The last meeting, on May 4, 2026, finished Real Sociedad 0, Sevilla 1.