Bundesliga • Sun, Nov 29, 16:30
TSG Hoffenheim hosts Augsburg in a Bundesliga fixture where the simulation decisively favours the home side. The model projects a comfortable win for Hoffenheim, with the visiting Augsburg facing a steep climb on the road. For Augsburg to emerge with a result, they would need to overcome Hoffenheim's decisive advantage and keep the combined score lower than AccuScore's projection suggests is likely.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
Free members get the daily Gold Pick delivered by email.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
Bundesliga
AccuScore's simulation makes Hoffenheim 80% to win, Augsburg 8%, with a 12% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Hoffenheim the more likely winner at 80%, with a 12% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Hoffenheim a 80% chance of beating Augsburg, with 8% for Augsburg and 12% for a draw. Hoffenheim are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Augsburg and Hoffenheim come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Augsburg have won 0 of their last 5, drawing 2 (L-L-D-L-D, most recent first).
Hoffenheim have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 24 times since 2014: Augsburg 4, Hoffenheim 14, 6 drawn. The last meeting, on Apr 10, 2026, finished Hoffenheim 2, Augsburg 2.