Juventus
Como
Win Probability
Moneyline
JUV
+210
26.0% win prob
EV -9.7%
bet365
Draw
Draw
+252
26% prob
EV -4.9%
Pinnacle
Moneyline
COM
+132
48.4% win prob
EV +6.1%
Pinnacle
Juventus travels to Como in a Serie A fixture where the simulation clearly favours the hosts. AccuScore's model projects a tight, low-scoring affair centred on whether either team can convert limited chances into goals—the combined score has a 62% chance to exceed the market total, suggesting defences will be tested but finishing could decide it. In games where the model has leaned this strongly toward the home side, that side won 44% of the time across 14,411 graded matchups. For Juventus to upset Como, the visitors would need to find efficiency in attack and limit the hosts' ability to capitalize on their home advantage.
| Book | JUV | EV | Draw | EV | COM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +202 | -10.7% | +252 | -4.9% | +132 | +6.1% |
| bet365 ↗ | +210 | -9.7% | +240 | -6.5% | +120 | +3.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3 | +128 | +8.9% | -156 | -9.5% |
| bet365 ↗ | 2.5 | -125 | +7.7% | +100 | -14.1% |
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Serie A
AccuScore's simulation makes Como 48% to win, Juventus 26%, with a 26% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Como the more likely winner at 48%, with a 26% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Como a 48% chance of beating Juventus, with 26% for Juventus and 26% for a draw. Como are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Juventus and Como come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Juventus have won 2 of their last 5, drawing 1 (D-W-L-W-L, most recent first).
Como have won 4 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 4 times since 2024: Juventus 2, Como 2. The last meeting, on Feb 21, 2026, finished Como 2, Juventus 0.