Winnipeg Jets
4-6
Carolina Hurricanes
11-2
Win Probability
The simulation leans decisively toward Carolina Hurricanes hosting Winnipeg Jets. Sebastian Aho projects at 60% to record more than 0.5 points, while Mark Scheifele sits at 46%; that gap between the teams' offensive catalysts frames the matchup. Winnipeg's depth is the game's turning point—Cole Perfetti carries only a 29% projection, the lowest among the skaters modelled. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore has won at 77% across 183 prior fixtures. The Jets would need their role players to exceed expectation while containing Jackson Blake, who projects at 54% for a point.
| Book | CAR | EV | WIN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -306 | -3.2% | +240 | +0.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -270 | -1.7% | +233 | -0.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 5.5 | -152 | -14.7% | -110 | +4.8% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Carolina Hurricanes 71% to beat Winnipeg Jets (30%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Carolina Hurricanes the more likely winner at 71%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Carolina Hurricanes a 71% chance of beating Winnipeg Jets, against 30% for Winnipeg Jets. Carolina Hurricanes are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Winnipeg Jets (4-5 so far) project to finish 39.9–40.8 and make the playoffs in 41% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Carolina Hurricanes (10-2 so far) project to finish 57.0–24.9 and make the playoffs in >99% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winnipeg Jets | 39.9–40.8 | 1% | 41% |
| Carolina Hurricanes | 57.0–24.9 | 98% | >99% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Winnipeg Jets and Carolina Hurricanes come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Winnipeg Jets have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
Carolina Hurricanes have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 33 times since 2011: Winnipeg Jets 18, Carolina Hurricanes 15. The last meeting, on Oct 17, 2026, finished Carolina Hurricanes 3, Winnipeg Jets 2.
Winnipeg Jets are 349-229 as favourite and 238-303 as underdog, and 270-301 on the road (47% of 571 games, 2011–2026).
Carolina Hurricanes are 440-275 as favourite and 184-266 as underdog, and 356-239 at home (60% of 595 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | WIN | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 349-229 | 440-275 |
| As underdog | 238-303 | 184-266 |
| At home | 329-246 | 356-239 |
| On the road | 270-301 | 281-315 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →