Minnesota Wild
9-3
Washington Capitals
8-4
Win Probability
The Minnesota Wild visit Washington Capitals in a matchup where the simulation favours the home side slightly. Minnesota's offence hinges on its top weapons: Kirill Kaprizov projects at 62% to record more than 0.5 points, while Quinn Hughes sits at 65%, suggesting both could drive play. Washington's Dylan Strome carries a 52% projection, his best chance to contribute among the Capitals' scoring options. AccuScore's record on games shaped like this one—home teams favoured by a modest margin—stands at 49% over 2,456 games, a reminder that the slight lean provides no cushion. For Minnesota to pull the upset, its depth will need to outpace Washington's inconsistency in secondary scoring.
| Book | WAS | EV | MIN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -103 | +5.1% | -121 | -9.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +103 | +6.7% | -119 | -9.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 5.5 | -166 | -6.2% | +106 | -3.3% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Washington Capitals 56% to beat Minnesota Wild (44%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Washington Capitals the more likely winner at 56%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Washington Capitals a 56% chance of beating Minnesota Wild, against 44% for Minnesota Wild. Washington Capitals are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Minnesota Wild (8-3 so far) project to finish 46.7–35.0 and make the playoffs in 89% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Washington Capitals (7-4 so far) project to finish 43.4–40.4 and make the playoffs in 63% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Wild | 46.7–35.0 | 12% | 89% |
| Washington Capitals | 43.4–40.4 | 1% | 63% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Minnesota Wild and Washington Capitals come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Minnesota Wild have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
Washington Capitals have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 22 times since 2012: Minnesota Wild 10, Washington Capitals 12. The last meeting, on Dec 16, 2025, finished Washington Capitals 0, Minnesota Wild 5.
Minnesota Wild are 385-248 as favourite and 209-284 as underdog, and 283-297 on the road (49% of 580 games, 2011–2026).
Washington Capitals are 458-285 as favourite and 196-232 as underdog, and 357-243 at home (60% of 600 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | MIN | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 385-248 | 458-285 |
| As underdog | 209-284 | 196-232 |
| At home | 324-248 | 357-243 |
| On the road | 283-297 | 314-284 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →