Utah Mammoth
9-5
Philadelphia Flyers
3-8
Win Probability
Utah Mammoth travels to Philadelphia looking to extend their record against a Flyers team that has struggled this season. The simulation leans slightly toward the visiting Mammoth, with Clayton Keller and Mikhail Sergachev both carrying 58% chances to record more than 0.5 points. Trevor Zegras presents Philadelphia's best scoring opportunity at 55%, though the Flyers will need secondary scoring to materialize—Matvei Michkov sits at just 38%. AccuScore's model has returned 49% on similar road favorites over 2,696 graded games, a cautionary note on close calls. Utah's depth advantage appears decisive; for Philadelphia to pull the upset, Zegras would need to carry more offensive load than the projection suggests.
| Book | PHI | EV | UTA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +140 | +2.2% | -182 | -6.2% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +143 | +2.9% | -164 | -4.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 5.5 | -152 | -8.1% | -106 | -2.0% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Utah Mammoth 56% to beat Philadelphia Flyers (44%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Utah Mammoth the more likely winner at 56%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Philadelphia Flyers a 44% chance of beating Utah Mammoth, against 56% for Utah Mammoth. Philadelphia Flyers are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Philadelphia Flyers (3-8 so far) project to finish 36.7–43.2 and make the playoffs in 19% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Flyers | 36.7–43.2 | 0% | 19% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Utah Mammoth and Philadelphia Flyers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Utah Mammoth have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
Philadelphia Flyers have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-W, most recent first).
Philadelphia Flyers are 237-182 as favourite and 275-421 as underdog, and 289-280 at home (51% of 569 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | UTA | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | — | 237-182 |
| As underdog | — | 275-421 |
| At home | — | 289-280 |
| On the road | — | 231-333 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →