Ottawa Senators
8-5
Anaheim Ducks
5-7
Win Probability
The simulation favours the Anaheim Ducks at home, though Ottawa Senators arrive as a competitive visitor. Leo Carlsson projects as the game's most likely scorer at 63% to record more than 0.5 points, while Tim Stutzle sits at 53%. The matchup turns on whether Ottawa's power play can generate early chances; AccuScore's model has historically converted games shaped this way into home victories only 49% of the time across 2456 similar spots. For the Senators to pull the upset, they would need Jake Sanderson to anchor a strong defensive showing while their top-end talent capitalizes on limited opportunities.
| Book | ANA | EV | OTT | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -112 | +6.4% | -107 | -10.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -105 | +8.2% | -109 | -11.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | 6.5 | -120 | -1.8% | -135 | -8.7% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Anaheim Ducks 60% to beat Ottawa Senators (40%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Anaheim Ducks the more likely winner at 60%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Anaheim Ducks a 60% chance of beating Ottawa Senators, against 40% for Ottawa Senators. Anaheim Ducks are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Ottawa Senators (7-5 so far) project to finish 41.6–42.1 and make the playoffs in 46% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Anaheim Ducks (5-6 so far) project to finish 42.8–40.1 and make the playoffs in 57% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ottawa Senators | 41.6–42.1 | 2% | 46% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 42.8–40.1 | 3% | 57% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Ottawa Senators and Anaheim Ducks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Ottawa Senators have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
Anaheim Ducks have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 23 times since 2012: Ottawa Senators 11, Anaheim Ducks 12. The last meeting, on Mar 14, 2026, finished Anaheim Ducks 0, Ottawa Senators 2.
Ottawa Senators are 204-151 as favourite and 309-451 as underdog, and 227-336 on the road (40% of 563 games, 2011–2026).
Anaheim Ducks are 244-169 as favourite and 271-438 as underdog, and 288-286 at home (50% of 574 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | OTT | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 204-151 | 244-169 |
| As underdog | 309-451 | 271-438 |
| At home | 291-273 | 288-286 |
| On the road | 227-336 | 234-333 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →