NHL
Vegas Golden Knights
9-4
Boston Bruins
9-4
Win Probability
Vegas Golden Knights visit Boston Bruins in a matchup between evenly matched teams where the simulation leans slightly toward the visitors. David Pastrnak projects as the game's most likely point contributor at 67%, while Jack Eichel sits at 62%—a narrow margin that underscores how tightly the model sees this contest. The outcome hinges on whether Vegas can sustain offensive pressure; AccuScore's calls on visiting teams in similarly close games have hit at 49% over 2,696 past matchups. For Boston to come away with the win, containing Eichel and Mitch Marner, both at 62% to record a point, becomes essential.
| Book | BOS | EV | VGK | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -103 | -3.4% | -121 | -1.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -105 | -3.8% | -109 | +0.5% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Vegas Golden Knights 53% to beat Boston Bruins (47%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Vegas Golden Knights the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Boston Bruins a 47% chance of beating Vegas Golden Knights, against 53% for Vegas Golden Knights. Boston Bruins are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Vegas Golden Knights (9-3 so far) project to finish 48.4–34.3 and make the playoffs in 94% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Boston Bruins (9-3 so far) project to finish 48.4–34.4 and make the playoffs in 95% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights | 48.4–34.3 | 28% | 94% |
| Boston Bruins | 48.4–34.4 | 32% | 95% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Vegas Golden Knights and Boston Bruins come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Vegas Golden Knights have won 1 of their last 5 (L-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
Boston Bruins have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 16 times since 2017: Vegas Golden Knights 7, Boston Bruins 9. The last meeting, on Jan 22, 2026, finished Vegas Golden Knights 3, Boston Bruins 4.
Vegas Golden Knights are 372-228 as favourite and 107-119 as underdog, and 220-197 on the road (53% of 417 games, 2017–2026).
Boston Bruins are 526-329 as favourite and 143-170 as underdog, and 358-235 at home (60% of 593 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | VGK | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 372-228 | 526-329 |
| As underdog | 107-119 | 143-170 |
| At home | 267-159 | 358-235 |
| On the road | 220-197 | 317-278 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →