Detroit Red Wings
6-4
Florida Panthers
7-4
Win Probability
The Detroit Red Wings travel to face the Florida Panthers in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the home side. Matthew Tkachuk projects as the most dangerous player on the ice at 70% to record more than 0.5 points, while Alex DeBrincat sits at 54%—a gap that reflects Florida's offensive threat. The game turns on whether Detroit can generate scoring depth; only DeBrincat and Lucas Raymond at 49% offer real punch beyond the top line. AccuScore's model has won 59% of games shaped like this one across 2649 graded instances. For the Red Wings to pull off the upset, their secondary scorers would need to overcome a visiting disadvantage against a Panthers team built around multiple scoring threats.
| Book | FLA | EV | DET | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -182 | +1.0% | +134 | -10.0% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -158 | +3.7% | +137 | -9.5% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Florida Panthers 66% to beat Detroit Red Wings (34%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Florida Panthers the more likely winner at 66%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Florida Panthers a 66% chance of beating Detroit Red Wings, against 34% for Detroit Red Wings. Florida Panthers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Detroit Red Wings (5-4 so far) project to finish 37.7–43.1 and make the playoffs in 24% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Florida Panthers (7-3 so far) project to finish 45.8–36.0 and make the playoffs in 88% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Red Wings | 37.7–43.1 | 1% | 24% |
| Florida Panthers | 45.8–36.0 | 16% | 88% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Detroit Red Wings and Florida Panthers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Detroit Red Wings have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-L, most recent first).
Florida Panthers have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 50 times since 2012: Detroit Red Wings 14, Florida Panthers 36. The last meeting, on Apr 15, 2026, finished Detroit Red Wings 1, Florida Panthers 8.
Detroit Red Wings are 207-172 as favourite and 264-439 as underdog, and 214-336 on the road (39% of 550 games, 2011–2026).
Florida Panthers are 392-260 as favourite and 218-278 as underdog, and 339-249 at home (58% of 588 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | DET | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 207-172 | 392-260 |
| As underdog | 264-439 | 218-278 |
| At home | 269-283 | 339-249 |
| On the road | 214-336 | 288-307 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →