Serie A • Mon, Nov 30, 17:30
Atalanta travel to Lecce in Serie A with the simulation clearly favoring the visitors. Lecce's task is to weather Atalanta's pressure; the game turns on whether the hosts can stay compact enough to deny space in transition. For Lecce to pull the upset, they would need to convert their limited chances and keep Atalanta's attacking players from finding the openings the simulation expects.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
Free members get the daily Gold Pick delivered by email.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
Serie A
AccuScore's simulation makes Atalanta 54% to win, Lecce 20%, with a 26% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Atalanta the more likely winner at 54%, with a 26% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Lecce a 20% chance of beating Atalanta, with 54% for Atalanta and 26% for a draw. Lecce are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Atalanta and Lecce come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Atalanta have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 2 (W-L-D-D-L, most recent first).
Lecce have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 1 (D-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 10 times since 2019: Atalanta 7, Lecce 2, 1 drawn. The last meeting, on Apr 6, 2026, finished Atalanta 3, Lecce 0.