NHL • Wed, Nov 4, 00:00
This coin-flip matchup sends Utah Mammoth to Toronto, where the simulation gives the Maple Leafs a slight disadvantage despite home ice. Clayton Keller leads the visitors' scoring chances at 61%, while Auston Matthews remains the most likely point producer for the hosts at 68%—a gap that tilts toward Toronto's depth. For Toronto to come in, the Maple Leafs will need to convert their scoring opportunities more efficiently than the model expects.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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Toronto Maple Leafs (7-6 so far) project to finish 41.7–40.2 and make the playoffs in 52% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 41.7–40.2 | 3% | 52% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Utah Mammoth 52% to beat Toronto Maple Leafs (48%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Utah Mammoth the more likely winner at 52%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Toronto Maple Leafs a 48% chance of beating Utah Mammoth, against 52% for Utah Mammoth. Toronto Maple Leafs are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Utah Mammoth and Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Utah Mammoth have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
Toronto Maple Leafs have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2026: Utah Mammoth 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 0. The last meeting, on Oct 13, 2026, finished Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Utah Mammoth 5.
Toronto Maple Leafs are 388-280 as favourite and 196-266 as underdog, and 320-260 at home (55% of 580 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | UTA | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | — | 388-280 |
| As underdog | — | 196-266 |
| At home | — | 320-260 |
| On the road | — | 277-300 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →