Winnipeg Jets
4-7
Montreal Canadiens
9-3
Win Probability
Montreal Canadiens host Winnipeg Jets in a matchup where the simulation favours the home side slightly. Mark Scheifele projects at 54% to record more than 0.5 points, making him the Jets' most likely contributor, while Lane Hutson sits at 48% for the hosts. The game hinges on whether Winnipeg can generate consistent secondary scoring; Cole Perfetti checks in at just 33%. AccuScore's record on home-favoured games like this one across 2,456 instances stands at 49% with a negative return, though in eight comparable recent matchups the model's side won four times. Montreal advances if it can limit the Jets' depth beyond Scheifele's line.
| Book | MON | EV | WIN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -191 | -7.5% | +152 | +5.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -171 | -5.8% | +148 | +4.8% |
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
Winnipeg Jets (4-7 so far) project to finish 39.1–41.7 and make the playoffs in 34% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Montreal Canadiens (8-3 so far) project to finish 37.4–44.4 and make the playoffs in 17% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winnipeg Jets | 39.1–41.7 | <1% | 34% |
| Montreal Canadiens | 37.4–44.4 | <1% | 17% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Montreal Canadiens 56% to beat Winnipeg Jets (44%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Montreal Canadiens the more likely winner at 56%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Montreal Canadiens a 56% chance of beating Winnipeg Jets, against 44% for Winnipeg Jets. Montreal Canadiens are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Winnipeg Jets and Montreal Canadiens come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Winnipeg Jets have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
Montreal Canadiens have won 5 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 42 times since 2011: Winnipeg Jets 17, Montreal Canadiens 25. The last meeting, on Oct 25, 2026, finished Montreal Canadiens 2, Winnipeg Jets 1.
Winnipeg Jets are 349-229 as favourite and 238-304 as underdog, and 270-302 on the road (47% of 572 games, 2011–2026).
Montreal Canadiens are 244-196 as favourite and 280-419 as underdog, and 282-298 at home (49% of 580 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | WIN | MON |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 349-229 | 244-196 |
| As underdog | 238-304 | 280-419 |
| At home | 329-246 | 282-298 |
| On the road | 270-302 | 253-327 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →