St. Louis Blues
7-6
New York Rangers
7-6
Win Probability
The St. Louis Blues travel to Madison Square Garden as simulation favourites in a matchup where finishing chances will decide the outcome. Alexis Lafreniere has a 32% chance of multiple points, while Dylan Holloway projects at 30%—narrow separation that reflects how tightly matched the scoring threats are. For New York Rangers to pull the upset at home, they would need Mika Zibanejad to break through; he sits at only 23% to exceed one point. AccuScore's model has graded 2,700 games shaped like this one and converted 49% of them. The simulation's lean toward St. Louis Blues is emphatic, but margins this fine reward execution over projection.
| Book | NYR | EV | STL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -126 | -12.3% | -112 | +4.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -123 | -11.9% | +107 | +10.0% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes St. Louis Blues 58% to beat New York Rangers (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes St. Louis Blues the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New York Rangers a 42% chance of beating St. Louis Blues, against 58% for St. Louis Blues. New York Rangers are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
St. Louis Blues (6-6 so far) project to finish 45.2–37.6 and make the playoffs in 80% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
New York Rangers (7-6 so far) project to finish 44.0–38.8 and make the playoffs in 69% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Blues | 45.2–37.6 | 5% | 80% |
| New York Rangers | 44.0–38.8 | 1% | 69% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How St. Louis Blues and New York Rangers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
St. Louis Blues have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
New York Rangers have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 23 times since 2011: St. Louis Blues 12, New York Rangers 11. The last meeting, on Dec 18, 2025, finished New York Rangers 2, St. Louis Blues 1.
St. Louis Blues are 385-272 as favourite and 249-262 as underdog, and 305-291 on the road (51% of 596 games, 2011–2026).
New York Rangers are 407-259 as favourite and 213-276 as underdog, and 333-262 at home (56% of 595 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | STL | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 385-272 | 407-259 |
| As underdog | 249-262 | 213-276 |
| At home | 338-255 | 333-262 |
| On the road | 305-291 | 301-290 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →