Minnesota Wild
9-3
Philadelphia Flyers
3-8
Win Probability
The Minnesota Wild travel to face the Philadelphia Flyers in a contest the simulation views as a coin-flip. Kirill Kaprizov projects to score in this matchup 61 percent of the time, while Quinn Hughes carries a 62 percent chance of more than 0.5 points. For Philadelphia Flyers, Trevor Zegras sits at exactly 50 percent. The game hinges on shot volume and finishing: the combined score is projected to land just above most totals, but only with 40 percent probability. On similar home-slight-lean games across 2456 graded contests, AccuScore's model has won 49 percent of the time. If Minnesota Wild can suppress Philadelphia Flyers' depth scoring—Matvei Michkov stands at just 36 percent—they become the likely victors.
| Book | PHI | EV | MIN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +146 | +12.4% | -200 | -13.0% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +148 | +12.9% | -171 | -10.9% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Philadelphia Flyers 51% to beat Minnesota Wild (49%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Philadelphia Flyers the more likely winner at 51%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Philadelphia Flyers a 51% chance of beating Minnesota Wild, against 49% for Minnesota Wild. Philadelphia Flyers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Minnesota Wild (8-3 so far) project to finish 46.0–34.7 and make the playoffs in 92% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Philadelphia Flyers (3-8 so far) project to finish 36.7–43.1 and make the playoffs in 19% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Wild | 46.0–34.7 | 12% | 92% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 36.7–43.1 | 0% | 19% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Minnesota Wild and Philadelphia Flyers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Minnesota Wild have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
Philadelphia Flyers have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 22 times since 2012: Minnesota Wild 8, Philadelphia Flyers 14. The last meeting, on Mar 12, 2026, finished Philadelphia Flyers 3, Minnesota Wild 2.
Minnesota Wild are 385-248 as favourite and 209-284 as underdog, and 283-297 on the road (49% of 580 games, 2011–2026).
Philadelphia Flyers are 237-182 as favourite and 275-421 as underdog, and 289-280 at home (51% of 569 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | MIN | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 385-248 | 237-182 |
| As underdog | 209-284 | 275-421 |
| At home | 324-248 | 289-280 |
| On the road | 283-297 | 231-333 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →