San Jose Sharks
7-8
Los Angeles Kings
4-7
Win Probability
The Los Angeles Kings host the San Jose Sharks in a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the home side. Macklin Celebrini projects as San Jose's most likely contributor, with a 56% chance of posting more than 0.5 points, while Artemi Panarin sits at 48% for Los Angeles. The game turns on whether San Jose can generate offense on the road; both teams are projected in the low-to-mid range offensively, making secondary scoring crucial. AccuScore's model has returned 59% on similar home-favored spots across 2,651 graded games. For the Sharks to pull the upset, their depth scoring would need to emerge while Panarin and the Kings' secondary options stay quiet.
| Book | Line | LOS | EV | SAN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -1.5 | +150 | — | -180 | — |
| FanDuel ↗ | -1.5 | +146 | — | -180 | — |
| BetMGM ↗ | -1.5 | +154 | — | -190 | — |
| Caesars ↗ | -1.5 | +152 | — | -182 | — |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -1.5 | +150 | — | -180 | — |
| Book | LOS | EV | SAN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -155 | +1.0% | +130 | -6.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -154 | +1.1% | +128 | -6.8% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -150 | +1.7% | +125 | -7.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | -157 | +0.7% | +133 | -5.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -155 | +1.0% | +135 | -5.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 6.5 | +105 | -19.7% | -125 | +13.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 6 | -112 | -16.7% | -108 | +12.9% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 6 | -120 | -17.6% | +100 | +15.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | 6 | -121 | -17.7% | -103 | +14.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 6.5 | +115 | -18.2% | -135 | +11.3% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 62.0%
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Kings 62% to beat San Jose Sharks (38%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Kings the more likely winner at 62%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Los Angeles Kings a 62% chance of beating San Jose Sharks, against 38% for San Jose Sharks. Los Angeles Kings are at home and favoured on these numbers.
San Jose Sharks (7-8 so far) project to finish 37.4–45.5 and make the playoffs in 13% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Los Angeles Kings (4-7 so far) project to finish 33.2–48.7 and make the playoffs in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Sharks | 37.4–45.5 | <1% | 13% |
| Los Angeles Kings | 33.2–48.7 | 0% | 3% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How San Jose Sharks and Los Angeles Kings come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
San Jose Sharks have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-L, most recent first).
Los Angeles Kings have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 66 times since 2011: San Jose Sharks 39, Los Angeles Kings 27. The last meeting, on Oct 3, 2026, finished Los Angeles Kings 4, San Jose Sharks 5.
San Jose Sharks are 277-226 as favourite and 228-402 as underdog, and 237-338 on the road (41% of 575 games, 2011–2026).
Los Angeles Kings are 342-267 as favourite and 211-292 as underdog, and 306-260 at home (54% of 566 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | SAN | LOS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 277-226 | 342-267 |
| As underdog | 228-402 | 211-292 |
| At home | 275-300 | 306-260 |
| On the road | 237-338 | 258-315 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →