Calgary Flames
7-8
Seattle Kraken
8-5
Win Probability
The simulation favours Seattle Kraken at home, though Calgary Flames remain competitive as visitors. Joel Farabee and Matt Coronato each project a 50-51% chance of posting more than 0.5 points, making them the Flames' most likely contributors; for the Kraken, Brandon Montour sits at 45%. The game hinges on whether Calgary's middle-six can generate offence—Ryan Strome carries only a 22% projection, and if that tier stays quiet, Seattle's depth edges the scoresheet. AccuScore's model has won 59% of the time on home-side calls shaped like this one across 2651 graded games. An upset requires Calgary to get production from its depth while containing Seattle's contributors.
| Book | Line | SEA | EV | CAL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -1.5 | +170 | — | -205 | — |
| FanDuel ↗ | -1.5 | +176 | — | -220 | — |
| BetMGM ↗ | -1.5 | +165 | — | -200 | — |
| Caesars ↗ | -1.5 | +168 | — | -200 | — |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -1.5 | +175 | — | -225 | — |
| Book | SEA | EV | CAL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -155 | +0.5% | +130 | -5.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -130 | +4.3% | +108 | -9.9% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -145 | +1.9% | +118 | -7.9% |
| Caesars ↗ | -143 | +2.2% | +121 | -7.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -135 | +3.4% | +115 | -8.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 6.5 | +105 | -16.0% | -125 | +10.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 6 | -112 | -12.7% | -108 | +8.9% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 6 | -120 | -13.7% | +100 | +10.9% |
| Caesars ↗ | 6 | -121 | -13.8% | -102 | +10.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 6.5 | +110 | -15.1% | -130 | +9.1% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 61.4%
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Seattle Kraken 61% to beat Calgary Flames (39%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Seattle Kraken the more likely winner at 61%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Seattle Kraken a 61% chance of beating Calgary Flames, against 39% for Calgary Flames. Seattle Kraken are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Calgary Flames (7-8 so far) project to finish 33.3–50.6 and make the playoffs in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calgary Flames | 33.3–50.6 | 0% | 1% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NHL team's projection →
How Calgary Flames and Seattle Kraken come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Calgary Flames have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
Seattle Kraken have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 21 times since 2021: Calgary Flames 12, Seattle Kraken 9. The last meeting, on Oct 30, 2026, finished Seattle Kraken 2, Calgary Flames 6.
Calgary Flames are 303-229 as favourite and 235-338 as underdog, and 244-317 on the road (43% of 561 games, 2011–2026).
Seattle Kraken are 71-56 as favourite and 116-187 as underdog, and 98-119 at home (45% of 217 games, 2021–2026).
| Record | CAL | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 303-229 | 71-56 |
| As underdog | 235-338 | 116-187 |
| At home | 304-261 | 98-119 |
| On the road | 244-317 | 94-127 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →